The Buccaneers have reached a one-year, $8.5 million deal with QB Baker Mayfield, according to multiple reports. ![]() Just don't treat him like a lock for big 2023 fantasy points. Godwin looks like a decent bet at modest ADP. Though the QB switch could also challenge the WR's efficiency. We're betting on some rebound for Godwin on that front. That's no surprise, given the December ACL tear that closed 2021. Godwin is also coming off career lows in yards per catch (9.8), yards per target (7.2), and yards per route (1.73). If that doesn't rebound, he'd feel a volume drop even more. Godwin finished each of the past three years ranked 31st or worse in target share among WRs. That volume figures to come down with Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask replacing Brady. Tampa Bay led the league in pass attempts each of the past two seasons and has ranked among the league leaders throughout Godwin's six seasons. But he - and the rest of the Bucs receivers - benefited from huge passing volume with Tom Brady. Godwin rebounded from his 2021 ACL tear to finish 18th in PPR points per game at the position last year. He does sit higher than that in our fantasy football rankings. Godwin will need to see his target share rebound and/or keep up the efficiency (and perhaps add TDs) to approach his points per game of the past four years.īuccaneers WR Chris Godwin looks like a value by ADP right now, especially at his WR29 price on Underdog Fantasy. ![]() He also posted better TD rates in 2018, 2019, and 2020 than the past two years. Godwin has topped 71% in catch rate four straight years, starting with Jameis Winston’s final Bucs season.He ranked 18th back in his 2019 breakout campaign, even with Mike Evans at 13th. ![]() Godwin also finished 31st among WRs in target share in 2021 and 44th in 2020.But Tampa will obviously need to run at a rate much higher than league-low if it wants to keep the defense guessing about what’s coming. New OC Dave Canales is expected to have an “added emphasis on establishing the run.” Canales said in the spring, “The marriage of the run and pass, that is our identity.” He was specifically referring to not giving away what’s coming with the formation.This has been a high-volume, pass-happy offense ever since Godwin arrived.They ranked sixth in 2020, fourth in 20, and third in 2017 (Godwin’s rookie year). The Buccaneers led the league in pass attempts each of the past two seasons.But the volume could be a lot different than what we’re used to. He’s good enough to deliver fantasy points even with iffy QB play. That last stat is the biggest reason to worry about Godwin this season.Godwin ranked eighth among WRs in targets per game but just 34th in target share (adjusted for games missed).So consider that another limitation of the knee repair. earlier in his career should mean more running after the catch. ![]() His 5.1 in that category fell in line with his career 5.4 average.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |